FakeWinter13 < UTfit

Fit results: Test Winter 2013 (pre-Moriond13)

Parameter	Input value	Full fit	SM Prediction
$\bar{\rho}$		$0.133 \pm 0.021$
$\bar{\eta}$		$0.349 \pm 0.014$
$\rho$		$0.136 \pm 0.021$
$\eta$		$0.358 \pm 0.014$
		$0.826 \pm 0.013$
$\lambda$	$0.2254 \pm 0.0009$	$0.2254 \pm 0.0006$
$\|V_{ub}\|$	$0.00382 \pm 0.00056$	$0.00363 \pm 0.00012$
$\|V_{cb}\|$	$0.041 \pm 0.001$	$0.04197 \pm 0.0006$
$\sin\theta_{12}$		$0.22545 \pm 0.00065$
$\sin\theta_{23}$		$0.04198 \pm 0.0006$
$\sin\theta_{13}$		$0.00363 \pm 0.00012$
$\delta [^{\circ}]$		$69.0 \pm 3.1$
$m_{b}\mathrm{ [GeV/c^{2}]}$	$4.19 \pm 0.04$
$m_{c}\mathrm{ [GeV/c^{2}]}$	$1.28 \pm 0.04$
$m_{t}\mathrm{ [GeV/c^{2}]}$	$164.1 \pm 0.9$	$164.15 \pm 0.85$
$\Delta m_{s} \mathrm{[ps^{-1}]}$	$17.72 \pm 0.04$	$17.72 \pm 0.04$	$17.5 \pm 1.3$
$\Delta m_{d} \mathrm{[ps^{-1}]}$	$0.507 \pm 0.004$
$\Delta m_{K} \mathrm{[ps^{-1}]}$	$1.8 \pm 1.8$
$f_{B_{s}}$	$0.233 \pm 0.01$	$0.2285 \pm 0.0055$
$f_{B_{s}}/f_{B_{d}}$	$1.2 \pm 0.02$	$1.204 \pm 0.018$
$B_{B_{s}}/B_{B_{d}}$	$1.05 \pm 0.07$	$1.09 \pm 0.051$
$B_{B_{s}}$	$0.87 \pm 0.04$	$0.857 \pm 0.035$
$B_{k}$	$0.751 \pm 0.02$	$0.757 \pm 0.019$
$\alpha [^{\circ}]$	$90.8 \pm 7.4$	$89.0 \pm 3.1$	$88.0 \pm 3.6$
$\beta [^{\circ}]$		$21.91 \pm 0.86$	$24.3 \pm 1.9$
$\sin(2\beta)$	$0.68 \pm 0.023$	$0.692 \pm 0.021$	$0.751 \pm 0.044$
$\cos(2\beta)$	$0.87 \pm 0.13$	$0.722 \pm 0.021$	$0.664 \pm 0.05$
$2\beta+\gamma [^{\circ}]$	$-90 \pm 54 \text{ and } 90 \pm 54$	$113.0 \pm 3.3$	$113.3 \pm 3.3$
$\gamma [^{\circ}]$	$-109.0 \pm 7.8 \text{ and } 71.0 \pm 7.5$	$69.0 \pm 3.1$
$\|\epsilon_{k}\|$	$0.002228 \pm 1.1\times 10^{-5}$	$0.00222754 \pm 1.0978\times 10^{-5}$	$0.00193 \pm 0.00019$
$B(B\rightarrow\tau\nu) 10^{-4}$	$0.99 \pm 0.25$	$0.838 \pm 0.076$	$0.823 \pm 0.077$
$J_{cp} 10^{-5}$		$3.128 \pm 0.098$
$B(B_{s}\rightarrow ll), 10^{-9}$		$3.44 \pm 0.26$

The fit results for all the nine CKM elements are $V_{CKM}=\left(\begin{array}{ccc} (0.97426 \pm 0.00014) & (0.22542 \pm 0.00063) & (0.00363 \pm 0.00012)e^{i(-69.1 \pm 3.1)^\circ}\\ ( -0.22527 \pm 0.00063)e^{i(0.0353 \pm 0.0011)^\circ} & (0.97339 \pm 0.00014)e^{i(-0.00189167 \pm 5.83333\times 10^{-5})^\circ} & (0.04197 \pm 0.0006) \\ (0.00884 \pm 0.00017)e^{i(-21.9 \pm 0.83)^\circ} & ( -0.0412 \pm 0.0006)e^{i(1.063 \pm 0.042)^\circ} & (0.999112 \pm 2.4\times 10^{-5})\end{array}\right)$

Full fit result for $\,\bar{\rho}$

$0.133 \pm 0.021$ 95% prob:[0.091, 0.174] 99% prob:[0.071, 0.196]
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Full fit result for $\,\bar{\eta}$

$0.349 \pm 0.014$ 95% prob:[0.322, 0.377] 99% prob:[0.311, 0.393]
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Full fit result for $\,\bar{\rho} - \bar{\eta}$


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Angles only result for $\,\bar{\rho} - \bar{\eta}$


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Sides only result for $\,\bar{\rho} - \bar{\eta}$


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Full fit result for $\,\rho$

$0.136 \pm 0.021$ 95% prob:[0.094, 0.178] 99% prob:[0.073, 0.201]
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Full fit result for $\,\eta$

$0.358 \pm 0.014$ 95% prob:[0.331, 0.387] 99% prob:[0.319, 0.403]
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Full fit result for $\,A$

$0.826 \pm 0.013$ 95% prob:[0.8, 0.852] 99% prob:[0.788, 0.865]
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Fit Input for $\,\lambda$

$0.2254 \pm 0.0009$ 95% prob:[0.2236, 0.2272] 99% prob:[0.2226, 0.228]
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Full Fit result for $\,\lambda$

$0.2254 \pm 0.0006$ 95% prob:[0.2242, 0.2267] 99% prob:[0.2235, 0.2273]
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Fit Input for $\,\|V_{ub}\|$

Gaussian likelihood used $0.00382 \pm 0.00056$
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Full Fit result for $\,\|V_{ub}\|$

$0.00363 \pm 0.00012$ 95% prob:[0.00339, 0.00389] 99% prob:[0.00328, 0.00403]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,\|V_{ub}\|$

95% prob:0 99% prob:0
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Compatibility Plot for $\,\|V_{ub}\|$


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Fit Input for $\,\|V_{cb}\|$

Gaussian likelihood used $0.041 \pm 0.001$
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Full Fit result for $\,\|V_{cb}\|$

$0.04197 \pm 0.0006$ 95% prob:[0.0408, 0.04321] 99% prob:[0.04019, 0.04381] U [0.04385, 0.04386]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,\|V_{cb}\|$

95% prob:0 99% prob:0
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Compatibility Plot for $\,\|V_{cb}\|$


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Full fit result for $\,\sin\theta_{12}$

$0.22545 \pm 0.00065$ 95% prob:[0.2241, 0.2267] 99% prob:[0.2236, 0.2274]
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Full fit result for $\,\sin\theta_{23}$

$0.04198 \pm 0.0006$ 95% prob:[0.04077, 0.04319] 99% prob:[0.04017, 0.04382]
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Full fit result for $\,\sin\theta_{13}$

$0.00363 \pm 0.00012$ 95% prob:[0.00339, 0.00389] 99% prob:[0.00328, 0.00403]
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Full fit result for $\,\delta [^{\circ}]$

$69.0 \pm 3.1$ 95% prob:[63, 75.5] 99% prob:[59.9, 78.6]
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Fit Input for $\,m_{t}\mathrm{ [GeV/c^{2}]}$

Gaussian likelihood used $164.1 \pm 0.9$
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Full Fit result for $\,m_{t}\mathrm{ [GeV/c^{2}]}$

$164.15 \pm 0.85$ 95% prob:[162., 165.] 99% prob:[161., 166.]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,m_{t}\mathrm{ [GeV/c^{2}]}$

95% prob:0 99% prob:0
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Compatibility Plot for $\,m_{t}\mathrm{ [GeV/c^{2}]}$


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Fit Input for $\,\Delta m_{s} \mathrm{[ps^{-1}]}$

Gaussian likelihood used $17.72 \pm 0.04$
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Full Fit result for $\,\Delta m_{s} \mathrm{[ps^{-1}]}$

$17.72 \pm 0.04$ 95% prob:[17.64, 17.8] 99% prob:[17.61, 17.84]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,\Delta m_{s} \mathrm{[ps^{-1}]}$

$17.5 \pm 1.3$ 95% prob:[15, 20.2] 99% prob:[13.8, 21.7]
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Compatibility Plot for $\,\Delta m_{s} \mathrm{[ps^{-1}]}$


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Fit Input for $\,f_{B_{s}}$

Gaussian likelihood used $0.233 \pm 0.01$
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Full Fit result for $\,f_{B_{s}}$

$0.2285 \pm 0.0055$ 95% prob:[0.2177, 0.24] 99% prob:[0.2128, 0.2461]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,f_{B_{s}}$

95% prob:0 99% prob:0
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Compatibility Plot for $\,f_{B_{s}}$


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Fit Input for $\,f_{B_{s}}/f_{B_{d}}$

Gaussian likelihood used $1.2 \pm 0.02$
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Full Fit result for $\,f_{B_{s}}/f_{B_{d}}$

$1.204 \pm 0.018$ 95% prob:[1.168, 1.242] 99% prob:[1.149, 1.26]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,f_{B_{s}}/f_{B_{d}}$

95% prob:0 99% prob:0
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Compatibility Plot for $\,f_{B_{s}}/f_{B_{d}}$


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Fit Input for $\,B_{B_{s}}/B_{B_{d}}$

Gaussian likelihood used $1.05 \pm 0.07$
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Full Fit result for $\,B_{B_{s}}/B_{B_{d}}$

$1.09 \pm 0.051$ 95% prob:[0.99, 1.193] 99% prob:[0.942, 1.245]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,B_{B_{s}}/B_{B_{d}}$

95% prob:0 99% prob:0
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Compatibility Plot for $\,B_{B_{s}}/B_{B_{d}}$


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Fit Input for $\,B_{B_{s}}$

Gaussian likelihood used $0.87 \pm 0.04$
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Full Fit result for $\,B_{B_{s}}$

$0.857 \pm 0.035$ 95% prob:[0.786, 0.929] 99% prob:[0.751, 0.966]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,B_{B_{s}}$

95% prob:0 99% prob:0
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Compatibility Plot for $\,B_{B_{s}}$


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Fit Input for $\,B_{k}$

$0.751 \pm 0.02$ 95% prob:[0.711, 0.791] 99% prob:[0.692, 0.81]
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Full Fit result for $\,B_{k}$

$0.757 \pm 0.019$ 95% prob:[0.719, 0.796] 99% prob:[0.7, 0.815]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,B_{k}$

95% prob:0 99% prob:0
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Compatibility Plot for $\,B_{k}$


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Fit Input for $\,\alpha [^{\circ}]$

$90.8 \pm 7.4$ 95% prob:[78.4, 103.] U [162., 170.] 99% prob:[72.6, 110.] U [158, 172.] U [178., 180]
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Full Fit result for $\,\alpha [^{\circ}]$

$89.0 \pm 3.1$ 95% prob:[82.7, 94.9] 99% prob:[79.8, 98]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,\alpha [^{\circ}]$

$88.0 \pm 3.6$ 95% prob:[80.8, 95.2] 99% prob:[77.3, 98.9]
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Compatibility Plot for $\,\alpha [^{\circ}]$


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Full Fit result for $\,\beta [^{\circ}]$

$21.91 \pm 0.86$ 95% prob:[20.3, 23.7] 99% prob:[19.5, 24.7]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,\beta [^{\circ}]$

$24.3 \pm 1.9$ 95% prob:[20.5, 28.1] 99% prob:[18.8, 30.2]
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Fit Input for $\,\sin(2\beta)$

$0.68 \pm 0.023$ 95% prob:[0.635, 0.729] 99% prob:[0.613, 0.755]
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Full Fit result for $\,\sin(2\beta)$

$0.692 \pm 0.021$ 95% prob:[0.652, 0.738] 99% prob:[0.632, 0.76]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,\sin(2\beta)$

$0.751 \pm 0.044$ 95% prob:[0.66, 0.835] 99% prob:[0.615, 0.873]
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Compatibility Plot for $\,\sin(2\beta)$


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Fit Input for $\,\cos(2\beta)$

$0.87 \pm 0.13$ 95% prob:[0.44, 0.99] 99% prob:[0.12, 0.99]
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Full Fit result for $\,\cos(2\beta)$

$0.722 \pm 0.021$ 95% prob:[0.677, 0.76] 99% prob:[0.651, 0.776]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,\cos(2\beta)$

$0.664 \pm 0.05$ 95% prob:[0.557, 0.756] 99% prob:[0.495, 0.794]
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Compatibility Plot for $\,\cos(2\beta)$


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Fit Input for $\,2\beta+\gamma [^{\circ}]$

$-90 \pm 54 \text{ and } 90 \pm 54$ 95% prob:[-173, -6.4] U [6.8, 173.] 99% prob:[-179, -0.6] U [0.5, 180]
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Full Fit result for $\,2\beta+\gamma [^{\circ}]$

$113.0 \pm 3.3$ 95% prob:[106., 119.] 99% prob:[103., 122.]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,2\beta+\gamma [^{\circ}]$

$113.3 \pm 3.3$ 95% prob:[106.9, 119.8] 99% prob:[103.7, 122.9]
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Compatibility Plot for $\,2\beta+\gamma [^{\circ}]$


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Fit Input for $\,\gamma [^{\circ}]$

$-109.0 \pm 7.8 \text{ and } 71.0 \pm 7.5$ 95% prob:[-124, -94.] U [55, 85.6] 99% prob:[-132, -87.] U [47.3, 92.4]
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Full Fit result for $\,\gamma [^{\circ}]$

$69.0 \pm 3.1$ 95% prob:[63, 75.5] 99% prob:[60, 78.6]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,\gamma [^{\circ}]$

95% prob:0 99% prob:0
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Compatibility Plot for $\,\gamma [^{\circ}]$


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Fit Input for $\,\|\epsilon_{k}\|$

Gaussian likelihood used $0.002228 \pm 0.000011$
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Full Fit result for $\,\|\epsilon_{k}\|$

$0.00222754 \pm 1.0978\times 10^{-5}$ 95% prob:[0.00220559, 0.0022495] 99% prob:[0.00219361, 0.00225948]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,\|\epsilon_{k}\|$

$0.00193 \pm 0.00019$ 95% prob:[0.00156, 0.00234] 99% prob:[0.00140, 0.00141] U [0.00142, 0.00260]
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Compatibility Plot for $\,\|\epsilon_{k}\|$


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Fit Input for $\,B(B\rightarrow\tau\nu) 10^{-4}$

Gaussian likelihood used $0.99 \pm 0.25$
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Full Fit result for $\,B(B\rightarrow\tau\nu) 10^{-4}$

$0.838 \pm 0.076$ 95% prob:[0.699, 1.001] 99% prob:[0.642, 1.096]
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SM Fit prediction for $\,B(B\rightarrow\tau\nu) 10^{-4}$

$0.823 \pm 0.077$ 95% prob:[0.683, 0.991] 99% prob:[0.627, 1.095]
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Compatibility Plot for $\,B(B\rightarrow\tau\nu) 10^{-4}$


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Full fit result for $\,J_{cp} 10^{-5}$

$3.128 \pm 0.098$ 95% prob:[2.937, 3.332] 99% prob:[2.849, 3.439]
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Full fit result for $\,B(B_{s}\rightarrow ll), 10^{-9}$

$3.44 \pm 0.26$ 95% prob:[2.94, 3.99] 99% prob:[2.7, 4.28]
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